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Xmas Day Weather

HomeWeatherXmas Day Weather

Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Coast Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.

Plan for a summer Christmas wherever you are in Australia. Conditions range from tropical heat and storms in the north to mild, changeable weather in the south, so check the live forecast above for your city.

What does Xmas Day weather typically look like in Australian capitals?

December 25 brings summer heat to most of the country, but each capital has a distinct character. The live forecast above is your best guide for 2025, and our Australia weather hub has more detail.

How to plan for Xmas Day 2025

Start monitoring from early December. The live forecast above becomes more reliable closer to the day, and our xmas day weather 14 days page shows emerging trends.

  • Northern Australia – extreme heat and humidity; plan indoor or shaded activities for midday.
  • Southern capitals – have a backup plan for showers, especially Melbourne and Hobart where conditions can shift quickly.
  • Coastal NSW – watch for southerly busters that can drop temperatures sharply. Check weather 10 days for early signals.
  • Use BOM radar on the day for real-time rain and storm tracking.
Hottest capitalDarwin averages 33°C with high humidity and daily storm risk.
Coolest capitalHobart averages 21°C, the mildest Australian capital Christmas.
Rain likelihoodMelbourne and Sydney see rain on roughly 1 in 3 Christmases.
Regional NSWInland centres often exceed 32°C; the coast stays cooler with sea breezes.
Is Xmas Day in Australia always hot?

Not everywhere. Northern cities like Brisbane and Darwin are reliably hot, but southern capitals such as Melbourne and Hobart can be mild or cool. The live forecast above gives the accurate outlook for your city this year.

When should I check the Xmas Day forecast?

Start looking from early December. The 14-day outlook gives a broad idea, but the most reliable window is 5–7 days before Christmas. The live forecast above updates daily as the day approaches.

Does it rain on Christmas Day in Sydney or Melbourne?

Both cities have about a 30% chance of rain on December 25. Melbourne’s weather is especially changeable. Check our xmas day weather sydney and melbourne christmas weather for specific forecasts.