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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Coast Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
The 10-day outlook for Melbourne shows a mild start with a possible cool change from mid-week, bringing showers and a drop in maximums. The live forecast above gives precise daily temperatures and rainfall chances for your exact plans.
What is the general pattern for Melbourne’s 10-day forecast?
Expect daytime highs around 20–24°C early in the period, then a trough crossing on Wednesday or Thursday may deliver 5–10 mm of rain. Nights will be cool at 10–14°C, with gusty northerlies ahead of the front and south-westerlies behind.
- Monday–Tuesday: mostly sunny, light breeze, high near 22°C
- Wednesday–Thursday: increasing cloud, probable showers, max 18–20°C
- Friday–Sunday: clearing to cool, dry conditions, highs 19–21°C
- Week two: settling back to fine weather with overnight lows around 12°C
How reliable is the 10-day outlook?
Confidence is moderate for days 1–5, decreasing for days 6–10. The Bureau of Meteorology’s model often captures major fronts well ahead, but precise timing and rainfall totals can shift. Check the 7-day forecast for higher accuracy.
Will it rain in Melbourne this week?
A cold front is likely to bring showers on Wednesday and Thursday, with totals of 5–10 mm possible. Other days should stay dry. Check the live forecast above for hour-by-hour rain probability.
How does the 10-day forecast compare to BBC Weather Melbourne?
Both models agree on the timing of the mid-week front, but BBC’s ensemble may show slightly cooler maximums. For local accuracy, the Bureau of Meteorology’s forecast is the best reference for Victoria.
Can I expect strong winds in the next 10 days?
Gusty northerly winds ahead of the front may reach 35–50 km/h on Wednesday, then south-westerly gusts overnight. Other periods will have light to moderate breezes. Check the 24-hour wind chart on the live forecast.
For a broader view, explore Australia weather hub or Melbourne Weather. Planning further ahead? Check the 10-day forecast for other capitals, or look at the Melbourne long range forecast 14 days. If you need a quick glance, the Melbourne weather 24 hours page gives hour-by-hour detail. You can also compare with the Sydney Weather and Brisbane Weather pages for coastal trends. For extended periods, use the weather 20 days outlook.