Home › Weather › Weather Forecast Melbourne 14 Days
Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Coast Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Melbourne’s 14-day forecast points to the changeable spring pattern the city is known for, with mild sunny days interrupted by cooler, showery spells, particularly around the middle of the outlook period. The live forecast above captures the latest model runs.
What does the 14-day outlook show for Melbourne?
The extended forecast indicates a typical spring mix: a few settled, mild days early, then a trough bringing cooler conditions and possible showers around days 6–8, before high pressure rebuilds later in the period. Expect daytime temperatures mostly in the high teens to low twenties and overnight lows around 10–14°C. For a closer look at the coming week, visit our Melbourne weather page.
How reliable is a 14-day forecast for Melbourne?
Forecast confidence is highest for the first 7 days, then gradually declines. For planning, treat the second week as a broad trend rather than a precise prediction. The Bureau of Meteorology’s 10-day forecast offers a stronger guide for the near term. For longer-range context, you can also check the melbourne weather 21 day forecast or melbourne weather 30 days if you need a general seasonal feel.
How accurate is a 14-day weather forecast?
For Melbourne, accuracy is good for the first 5–7 days (around 80–90%). Beyond that, it drops to about 50–60% as small atmospheric changes can shift the outlook significantly. Treat the second week as a general tendency.
Does the BOM provide a 28-day outlook?
Yes, the BOM issues a 28 day weather forecast melbourne bom as part of its extended outlook, though it focuses on broad trends (above/below average temperatures and rainfall) rather than day-by-day details.
Should I check the BBC forecast for Melbourne?
The bbc weather forecast melbourne 14 days uses global models, which can be useful for comparison. However, for local conditions we recommend the BOM as Australia’s official source, as it uses finer-resolution models tuned to our region.